📆What will happen in 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]

Plus

336

Ṁ140k

Jan 1

99%

Donald Trump wins USA 2024 election according to most reputable news sites

97%

President elect will be uncontested by Veterans Day (Nov 11)

95%

Bitcoin closes higher on Festivus (Dec. 23, 2024) than it closed on Festivus (Dec. 23, 2023) [EST] ***- $43,739.54 - closing price on Festivus 2023***

95%

English Wikipedia will reach 6.93 million articles.

89%

linda yaccarino still ceo of twitter at end of year

83%

Manifold users rate manifold politics as a successful experiment at eoy

66%

prong.studio releases a 3rd product and starts taking preorders or sales (not including accessories / parts)

65%

official trailer releases for S&box (new facepunch / garry mod game)

62%

A famous global brand undergoes a rebranding

61%

Anyone from the 2023 Time100 passes away (https://time.com/collection/100-most-influential-people-2023/)

61%

Deagle's old "2025 forecast" will turn out to be completely wrong

54%

contrapoints releases a video after Twilight

51%

something related to seinfeld (the show) happens as jerry seinfeld hinted at last fall

48%

The next actor to play James Bond will be announced

46%

Manifold hits 11000 Monthly Active Users

46%

Any world leader says a racial slur

42%

Total funding for the Effective Altruism movement grows >25% compared to 2023

40%

A "Cameo" of anyone with a Wikipedia page at least 1-year-old is posted in the comments and the person clearly says the word, "rationalussy".

36%

Israel : Hamas Ceasefire

35%

at least one equipment caused death at a theme park in the USA due to ride failure, negligence, or other similar cause (not: pool drowning, natural disasters , medical, or forced violence)

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#What Will Happen Markets

Get

1,000

and

3.00

25 Comments

324 Holders

2.9k Trades

Sort by:

bought Ṁ1,000 Answer #87b5f19511f0 YES

@strutheo
National team resolves yes

while
MLB World Series won by the American League team
resolves no

President elect will be uncontested by Veterans Day (Nov 11)

@BlueDragon What does "uncontested" mean in this context?

@Kraalnaxx That one of the candidates has conceded and we have a president elect

@Erskine does president elect count?

It does not say “elected”. It says “first female president” in 2024. To me, as posed, it must mean that a female would need to actually be president at some time in 2024. The only ambiguity, in my opinion, is which country she would be president of. 🙂