What will be true about the Oscar Best Picture winner at the 97th Academy Awards? (Films from 2024)
What will be true about the Oscar Best Picture winner at the 97th Academy Awards? (Films from 2024)
12
435Ṁ3212resolved Apr 1
Resolved
YESWill also win Best Original Screenplay
Resolved
YES120 minutes or longer
Resolved
YESFour or more people representing the film on stage during acceptance speech
Resolved
NOFemale director
Resolved
NOReleased in Q2 2024 (April/May/June)
Resolved
NOFour or more producers
Resolved
NO$100M or more at box office
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Oops selling my shares, as I think there's some confusion.
The "96th Academy Awards" will take place in 2024, awarding movies released in 2023. It looks like this is meant to cover movies released in 2024, in which case it should be the "97th academy awards"?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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