One month from today Will Kamala be above Donald trump on Polymarket?
Basic
168
60k
Sep 20
55%
chance

resolves 50 if tie

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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at exact close time?

These markets should be titled "on September 19, 2024" not "one month from today" since there's no way to know when the market was created. Afaict.

@FrederickNorris Fwiw, if you click the three dots in the top right, you can check the creation date (separate from whether that’s convenient vs putting it in the title)

@FrederickNorris ending date is top right even without the three dots

@strutheo the ending date can often be arbitrary, though, and can be before/after the exact date/time the resolution condition is fulfilled

reposted

debate bump

For the lay Manifold Traders

One month from today

Question created Aug 20, 2024, 11:33:20 AM

On Sep 20, 2024

Question, does this resolve YES if true

  • at any point of the day or

  • for the majority of the day or

  • for the entire day, or

  • exactly at 11:33:20 AM [PT]?

Only that day

For all or for a portion of that day?

illm ake a judgement call based on random sampling of time

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 60% order

Will it definitely resolve 50% if the % chances are equal? Or might u look at share prices too?

resolve 50% if the big indicators are tied , i will take a random sampling at random times on that day and use my judgement

reposted

Upgraded to basic