In 2024: human marathon under 2h OR Bitcoin reaches $150K OR perfect game pitched OR Manifold reaches 40K MAU?
➕
Plus
37
Ṁ4386
Jan 1
20%
chance

Will resolve YES if any of the conditions are met before EOY 2024

  • Human runs an official marathon under 2h0m0s

  • Bitcoin reaches $150K USD

  • A perfect game is pitched in the MLB

  • Manifold reaches 40K Monthly active users on average

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Ṁ1,000
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The marathon became less likely with the death of the only person ever with a time under 121 minutes, Kelvin Kiptum, on February 11.

He only ever competed in three marathons, and won all three with sub-122 minute times that set course records.

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