Resolves YES if 1 year from today his subscriber count on youtube is the same or less than today: 31,800,000
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ34 | |
| 2 | Ṁ24 | |
| 3 | Ṁ24 | |
| 4 | Ṁ18 | |
| 5 | Ṁ13 |
@strutheo I believe this market can resolve NO. You put the close date in May 2026, but the market creation date was May 16th 2024 (for my time zone), so 1 year from market creation should've been May 16th 2025. Youtube API doesn't have historical subscriber counts, but SociaBlade has monthly subscriber count totals showing 32.2M on April 30th 2025 and 32.6M on May 31st 2025, and there are archived snapshots of Dream's youtube page, which shows 32.6M on May 14th 2025, and 32.6M on May 17th 2025.
While I suppose it is possible that Dream's subscriber count was 32.6M right before May 16th 2025 on the May 14th snapshot, fell by ~800k subscribers in ~1 day back down to 31.8M, and then shot back up exactly to 32.6M in less than a day for the May 17th snapshot, that seems beyond reasonable doubt or whatever, especially since there are no reports of any such thing happening (would've certainly been talked about at least a little I think). So, I think this market can safely resolve NO.