
At the end of 2025 will the most commonly used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be Blue?
5
100Ṁ1782026
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will be going off of 'All X Decks' in Standard format here: https://mtgtop8.com/topcards
NOT INCLUDING BASIC LANDS
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What deck colors and archetype will win the next Magic: The Gathering Standard Pro Tour event?
At the end of 2025 will the most commonly used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be Black?
43% chance
At the end of 2025 will the most used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be used in 50% or more of decks?
15% chance
At the end of 2025 will the most used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be used in 45% or more of decks?
20% chance
At the end of 2025 will the most commonly used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be an Instant spell card?
35% chance
At the end of 2025 will the most commonly used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be a Land card? (non-Basic)
45% chance
At the end of 2025 will the most commonly used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be a Land card? (non-Basic)
50% chance
In 2025, will a Magic: The Gathering card be banned within 2 weeks of becoming legal in a format?
18% chance
In 2025, will a Magic: The Gathering card be banned within 4 weeks of becoming legal in a format?
54% chance
Will Magic: The Gathering still be being activly developed and printed in paper by the end of 2025?
99% chance