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MANIFOLD
Will "Avatar: The Last Airbender" Rank #1 on Netflix's Top 10 One Week After Its Release?
16
Ṁ351Ṁ658
resolved Mar 12
Resolved
YES

This market focuses on predicting whether "Avatar: The Last Airbender," Netflix's live-action adaptation of the acclaimed animated series, will achieve the #1 position on Netflix's Top 10 list in the United States for the week of February 22nd through February 29th, 2024.

Voting "Yes": You predict that "Avatar: The Last Airbender" will be the #1 show on Netflix's Top 10 in the United States during this period.

Voting "No": You believe that the series will not secure the #1 spot on Netflix's Top 10 in the United States during the stated week.

Methodology:

The market will be determined based on the official Netflix Top 10 rankings (Netflix Top 10), which lists the most-watched shows and movies on Netflix in the United States, measured by viewership.

Resolution Criteria:

The outcome of this market will be decided by checking the ranking of "Avatar: The Last Airbender" on Netflix's Top 10 list for the United States for the week ending February 29, 2024. If the series ranks at the #1 position on this list for that specific week, the market will resolve as "Yes." Any other ranking will lead to a "No" resolution.

This approach uses a reliable and transparent measure of the series' popularity and viewership, offering a clear and objective criterion for resolving the market.

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It was #1 for its 1st 2 weeks.

My calculation was incorrect, that Feb 29th would be the end of the ranking period.

It was #1 Feb 19th - Feb 25th

Waiting for the next week of rankings from Netflix. If it is #1 again, I will resolve yes. If not, I will calculate the 2 week rankings to decide how to resolve.