Outcome of Harvard-Trump Administration Dispute
11
175Ṁ291
May 14
2%
Harvard backs down
21%
Compromise
29%
No compromise
42%
Trump backs down
6%
Other

In order to clearly define the resolution criteria, I will use the following quantitative metric:

Harvard backs down: Harvard does not lose any federal funding after accepting Trump's demands

Compromise: Harvard and Trump come to an agreement and either loses some amount of federal funding between 0 and the current threatened amount (around $2 billion) or implements some of the demands but not all.

No compromise: Harvard loses the full $2 billion of federal funding and no agreement is reached by the end of April.

Trump backs down: Harvard does not lose any federal funding and isn't compelled to accept any of Trump's demands.

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"Lost" is imprecise.
The funds could be frozen for a long time.
The administration could be court-ordered to return the funds in a 0-9 ruling and ignore it.
Etc.

Highly likely this is still an ongoing issue on May 14th.

@jgyou I recognize it's difficult to design a resolution criteria that perfectly captures every possible action, in that case I'll resolve to Other or someone can add another option if it's clearly distinct from the options I have put

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