Will an open model take the 5th spot on chatbot arena before EOY?
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13
Ṁ427
Jan 1
79%
chance

https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard

If any open source or open weight model takes the 5th position or better on the leaderboard for at least a day before the end of 2024, this market resolves YES. Otherwise NO.

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Command R+ (103b) has just beaten some versions of GPT4.