Will an open model take the 5th spot on chatbot arena before EOY?
Plus
14
Ṁ432resolved Jan 12
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard
If any open source or open weight model takes the 5th position or better on the leaderboard for at least a day before the end of 2024, this market resolves YES. Otherwise NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ78 | |
2 | Ṁ40 | |
3 | Ṁ22 | |
4 | Ṁ19 | |
5 | Ṁ18 |
Sort by:
@traders I'm pretty sure this never happened. I'll resolve NO tomorrow unless someone with better memory corrects me.
Related questions
Related questions
Which LLM will have the highest ELO at the end of 2025 on ChatBot Arena?
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
39% chance
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Which companies will achieve a higher ELO rating than OpenAI on ChatBot Arena in 2025? ( >= week)
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will there be a model with a 69%+ Chatbot Arena win rate against gpt-o1 before June 1st, 2025?
86% chance
Will China have a model in the top 10 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena on March 1, 2025?
98% chance
Meta to release world's most advanced AI?
15% chance
Until what date will an Google model hold the top position in the Chatbot Arena? (>=week)
What will be the highest ELO on Chatbot Arena on Jan 1, 2025?