I spotted this tweet:

slight deviation from the tweet:

resolves Yes if OAI pens a Sora deal with one or more major movie production studios.

I'll also resolve Yes if a version of Sora is released to the public but is limited to videos 60-seconds or less, or if Sony isn't a/the studio.

the aspect I'm more interested in predicting is whether a robust version of Sora will launch with one or more production studios and is otherwise unavailable for use by the general public (at all, or for videos more than 60sec long).

if Sora is renamed, this market resolves for the new name. resolves NA if for any reason Sora is abandoned before any release.