will I (@shankypanky) become romantically involved with anyone who voted for my February meme?
18
360
400
2025
9%
chance

at market creation, there is a poll running for the Best Meme of February in @strutheo's inaugural monthly market and one of mine is a contender. I've heard a variety of opinions on this meme but a particularly interesting one came up this morning:

here's the meme in question:

I won't get into what I think of the suggestion that my sense of humour is a Thirst Trap and tbf, finding me funny is obviously an attractive quality in a person. but: is Mike Novak right? will I become romantically involved with someone who voted for my meme?

I am not currently romantically involved (by any definition) with anyone on Manifold and in case it wasn't obvious: my comment on the poll as a result of this exchange ("vote for me and win a date") was a joke.

resolves by the end of 2024.

eta: I've voted for my own meme and I don't count for the purposes of this market.

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@mattyb 🥲

@shankypanky it was hurting my calibration. you of all people should know that i’m a notorious flipper. i’ll hold YES again before this resolves

@mattyb maybe you will, maybe you won't

@bohaska this is meta profit maximising 😅

I actually thought it was the best meme. I was making jest of the skewed gender demo on Manifold. That's all. 🕊

More importantly, I was going to reply with a meme-ish YouTube link and accidentally stumbled upon the creepiest music video that's possibly ever been made.

This needs to get out there, and thank you, @shankypanky, for exposing Dean Martin's creepy AF behaviour.

That's what makes manifold great. I stumbled upon a comment deep down on some random market and it ends up with a 🐀 pack scandal!

You got best meme in the 🎒 for ☘️ !

@MikeNovak what in the everlasting fuck did I just watch lol my eyes are bleeding

@MikeNovak why is this a thing that exists?

Betting no for a chance 🥴 i love real live girls

bought Ṁ10 NO from 19% to 18%

@dgga as far as an online community is concerned, I suppose there's also a non-zero chance that I'm not actually even a real live girl

@dgga classic me

Even if we assume @shankypanky will actively attempt to become romantically involved with the poll voters, only a tiny slither of randomly selected Manifold users will be geographically close enough, the right age, the right orientation, attractive, fun to hang out with etc, plus she has a high question resolution honesty rating, so I suspect the correct probability is <1% rather than the current 19%

@TheAllMemeingEye all good and reasonable points. ftr: I don't plan to bet or actively attempt to influence the outcome in either direction (a long distance romance would count though). I also think everyone is overlooking the crucial point that it's not only my decision - voters would also have to be mutually interested in me?

this market could have potentially been funnier if @strutheo didn't close the poll as soon as he saw it 😂

@TheAllMemeingEye Why the assumption that geographic proximity is a prerequisite for a romantic relationship?

@ssh I suppose it's not an absolute requirement, but in general I don't think it's an unreasonable assumption that, for most people, being able to physically meet up with a potential partner is a plus, though obviously like some of the other factors I mentioned it can be looked past if the other factors make up for it

@shankypanky lol in the absence of major red flags on your part I don't know about, or you having a rare orientation, my guess is that roughly 50% of the people you are interested in would also be interested in you, largely due to correlated niche interests etc

@TheAllMemeingEye my initial instinct was to make a market about my red flags but I'll skip that one

@shankypanky wait until they lower market costs again haha

@TheAllMemeingEye meme markets are cheaper than therapy

@shankypanky I give 30% odds a meme with some variant of this as the punchline would be the winning meme of this month if submitted lmao

@shankypanky also in case I misread and you're not joking about wanting therapy, I hope you can get the help that enables you to overcome any difficulties you might be facing, stay safe fam 🙏

@TheAllMemeingEye lol no I love therapy - it was just a joke about red flags and market costs

Honestly, this market redefines the meme. Now (s)he’s been tied up so that he can take the better market position.

The list of potentials is currently at 13

@mattyb oh no I didn't account for a romantic entanglement with myself. I should update the criteria.

@mattyb oh, well, suddenly the poll just closed so this is the list 😅

@mattyb nevernudes ✊

@houstonEuler ❌ not on the list. we, the Manifold Masses, do not approve of this unprofitable union

@houstonEuler my money’s on Schneefackel

@mattyb

@Schneefackel 👋😂

@shankypanky

Just some random Aella simp living a rather secluded and isolated life

for now…