how many people will Donald Trump insult in his July 4th social post(s)? [short fuse]
15
800Ṁ801
Jul 4
0.8%
doesn't make a July 4th holiday post
27%
0
19%
1
15%
2
8%
3
4%
4
4%
5
4%
6
4%
7
4%
8
4%
9
6%
10+

well, it's that time again! the July 4th holiday is coming soon, and Trump is bound to make a social post (or multiple?) acknowledging the holiday. his typical holiday posts include some mention of the occasion before quickly devolving into a series of grievances, insults, and/or declarations.

how many people will he insult this year?

I'll resolve this for the count across any posts based on the following:

  • must include a mention of July 4th, Independence Day, or an unambiguous reference to the holiday itself

  • insults can include a character attack, remark on something superficial (like their appearance), a derogatory nickname for the person, and similar commentary

  • for the purposes of this market, only individuals will count (in the unlikely event he insults a couple ala "The Bidens" I'll consider this two people); departments, branches of the government, companies, etc won't be included in the tally

  • if he makes multiple posts satisfying the above, I'll include everyone in the count. only posts made on July 4th where he is on the day - presumably the east coast time zone - will count. if he is outside of the US time zones, I will automatically use the east coast as a cutoff time.

note I suppose this could be ambiguous as Trump is predictable in temperament but a loose cannon in his expression. I won't bet here to remain impartial, but understand this (and ask any questions you have) before betting.

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