15
100
1k
2025
90%
chance

see comments for further res crit clarification.

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hmm, seems like this could get into a weird situation quickly. i'm going to slightly clarify res crit to be that:

  • i spend an average of ≥ 5 hours per week on manifest from now until manifest

  • i play a significant role in making manifest 2024 happen, according to all of (austin, stephen, james)

  • the role that i play is sufficiently significant that all of (austin, stephen, james) think that it would be reasonable to say either that "saul ran manifest 2024" or that "saul was one of the people who ran manifest 2024"

@saulmunn *all of those criteria have to be fulfilled, in case that wasn't clear