I have access to Claude Pro, ChatGPT Plus, and Google AI Pro.

In my experience, ChatGPT 5.1 Thinking is currently unmatched for the class of technical problems I ask on a regular basis. For less mathematically complex problems I often prefer Claude. I use Gemini much less often, roughly once every two weeks. I have an iPhone and use MacOS computers.

I will try out Gemini 3. Assuming Gemini 3 is released by December 23rd, I will add https://gemini.google.com/ to the "Essentials" in my default browser and remove other AI tools from such easy-to-access locations so Gemini is the lowest friction option. I'll leave things this way for a week, and after that I'll do whatever is most convenient for me.

What counts as regularly will be based on my personal judgment, but a ballpark on what might count is five new chats per week.

If after the week long trial period I continue to use Gemini regularly this market resolves YES. Otherwise it resolves NO. If Gemini 3 is not released by December 23rd this market resolves N/A.

I will not bet in this market.