Will James enter into a committed relationship before he finishes "4-manifolds and Kirby calculus"

Question

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to "No" if and only if James completes reading, including solving all exercises, of "4-Manifolds and Kirby Calculus" by Gompf and Stipcisz before he enters into a committed and monogamous romantic relationship with a human. This market resolves to "Yes" otherwise.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 61% chance (1 traders, as of Apr 16, 2026).

Resolution criteria

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