Will I create a Manifold bot in September?

13

closes Oct 2

45%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Amount

Ṁ0

Ṁ50

Ṁ100

Payout if YES

Ṁ21 +116.4%

New probability

47% +2%

I want to but haven't

Get Ṁ500 play money

## Related questions

Sort by:

## Related questions

Will at least 10 people report having found my new Manifold search function useful within a week?

Isaac

55% chance

Will the majority of respondents to my Manifold survey also have taken Pat's Manifold Survey?

Plasma Ballin'

75% chance

Will @MarcusAbramovich honour his "going to be spending a lot less time on Manifold going forward" in September?

Hugh Hefner

22% chance

Will Manifold ever do anything to stop spammy engagement-farming questions like this one?

Robin Bruce

65% chance

Will I only use manifold for about 5 minutes each day until October.

Justified use of Fallibilism

15% chance

Will the dwarf planet question on my Manifold survey have the same result as the original survey?

Plasma Ballin'

39% chance

Will Manifold keep the "resolution reliability" ranking system in place for at least three months?

evergreen

80% chance