Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if SpaceX (SPCX) Class A common stock, traded on the NASDAQ, trades at or below $75.00 at any point during regular or extended trading hours on or before December 31, 2026.

The market will resolve to NO if the stock remains strictly above $75.00 through the close of the final trading day of 2026 (December 31, 2026).

Key Rules:

• The primary source of truth is the historical stock data for SPCX on Google Finance or Yahoo Finance.

• Any intraday or extended-hours transaction recorded by major financial databases (such as Bloomberg, NASDAQ, or Yahoo Finance) at or below $75.00 is sufficient to trigger a YES resolution.

• If any stock splits, reverse splits, or stock dividends occur before the resolution date, the $75.00 threshold will be adjusted proportionally to reflect the split.

Background

SpaceX launched its historic initial public offering (IPO) on June 12, 2026, under the ticker symbol SPCX, marking the largest listing in stock market history. Initially pricing at $135 per share, the stock surged past $225 before experiencing a sharp post-IPO correction.

Following its first quarterly earnings report as a public company in August 2026, SpaceX reported strong revenue growth of 92% year-over-year. However, its shares faced continued downward pressure due to a massive $18.4 billion capital expenditure bill, primarily driven by heavy investments in its AI infrastructure segment (formerly xAI). This market allows traders to speculate on whether ongoing capital expenditures and stock volatility will pull SPCX down to the $75 level by the end of the year.