Who will win traitors season 4 (US)?
0
575
Dec 31
4%
Donna Kelce
4%
Porsha Williams
4%
Caroline Stanbury
4%
Candiace Dillard Bassett
4%
Lisa Rinna
4%
Dorinda Medley
4%
Ian Terry
4%
Tiffany Mitchell
4%
Rob Cesternino
4%
Natalie Anderson
4%
Yam Yam Arocho
4%
Rob Rausch
4%
Maura Higgins
4%
Colton Underwood
4%
Kristen Kish
4%
Eric Nam
4%
Michael Rapaport
4%
Mark Ballas
4%
Stephen Colletti
4%
Johnny Weir

Resolution criteria

The market resolves based on who wins The Traitors Season 4, which premieres January 8, 2026 on Peacock with the finale/reunion airing February 26, 2026. Resolution will be determined by the official winner(s) announced in the season finale episode. If the Faithful contestants eliminate all the Traitors, they will share the prize fund, but if any Traitors make it to the end, they steal the money. In the event of multiple winners (as occurred in Season 3), the market resolves to whichever contestant is selected as the answer that matches the actual outcome.

Background

The cast is composed entirely of reality show participants and public figures. The cast includes legendary Housewives like Lisa Rinna and returning Dorinda Medley, as well as previous reality TV winners in Natalie Anderson, Ian Terry, Monét X Change and Yam Yam Arocho, plus figure skaters Johnny Weir and Tara Lipinski, and NFL mom Donna Kelce. The prize pot is up to $250,000.

Considerations

In Season 3, four Faithfuls (Dylan Efron, Gabby Windey, Dolores Catania, and Lord Ivar Mountbatten) made it to the final bonfire and chose to split the money. Multiple winners are possible, which would require clarification on how the market resolves if the actual outcome involves more than one winner.

Market context
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