Will a couple have 100 children by 2035
20
1kṀ1464
2036
8%
chance

Will two people have 100 or more biological children by 2035? This can be achieved using artificial wombs, surrogacy, or any other technology, but each of the 100 children should have the same two people as their biological parents (half of the genes from one person and another half from the other).

Edit: if some of the children were born before creation of the market, they count.

Biology
Fertility
Population
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will I have children by 2035?
46% chance
Will I have at least one child by the end of 2035?
78% chance
Someone has at least 50 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031
96% chance
An American quickly has at least 50 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031
34% chance
Will Richard ngo have a family by 2035
61% chance
Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?
77% chance
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
50% chance
An American quickly has at least 90 children in a 3 year interval, anytime through 2031
34% chance
Will Malcolm and Simone Collins have at least 5 children before 2030?
97% chance
Will Malcolm and Simone Collins have at least 9 children before 2030?
29% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy