At some point, the option in /PaperBoy/how-long-will-the-government-shutdo that resolves YES will remain* at or above 50% until close. How many days (24 hour periods) will there be between that and when the shutdown ends?

From that market:

• End: when the President signs a law (CR or full‑year appropriations) that restores funding to all agencies affected by the lapse. Mainstream media (NYT, WSJ, WaPo) best estimates of this time will be used.

*Remaining at or above 50% does not count brief dips below from the activity of a few traders. For instance, I would say that "Other" remained at or above 15% from a bit before 7am ET 10/14 until a bit after 4pm 10/15.