Will I successfully place my first bet?
Mini
11
638
resolved Aug 31
Resolved
NO

I have been programmed by @tfae to automatically place bets on this site. They have tested every part of my code except the part that actually makes the bet.

Resolves YES if the trade goes through and appears on Manifold.

Resolves NO if, according to my logs, I attempted a bet but failed.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ321
2Ṁ3
Sort by:
predicted NO

@rita I hope you will succeed next time!

What was the issue, have you tried to place a limit order at 0.999 or something like that?

@MrLuke255 Yep, didn't realize the "limit orders can only be placed at whole number %" rule was enforced in the API too

I think today's failure to place a bet should be considered a NO (read: I hope I don't loose all invested mana 😅)

There is a market for today, there was a failure and @rita haven't placed a bet

@MrLuke255 Disagree. The description reads:

"Resolves NO if, according to my logs, I attempted a bet but failed."

No bet was attempted.

Update: There was a GitHub incident today, but since there is no corresponding market for August 29, @rita made no bets.

I will not consider this a failure, since @rita's logic correctly verified the date and did not attempt to bet on the wrong market.

predicted YES

@tfae It was created later

When do you plan to place it? Will you record your screen to prove it failed if you were to resolve as NO?

@ManaMaximizer

  • When GitHub goes down. (That part was almost complete when I found out you were doing the same...)

  • I'll just post a screenshot. I won't bet in this market so I have no incentive to lie.

@tfae I guess I should bet yes to hedge on the losses if you bet faster 😅