Once the R1 is in the hands of consumers (5K+ units delivered), and the hype has died down (~1 month later), will it suck? (End date may be adjusted accordingly, if there are shipping delays)
Suckiness is of course entirely subjective, so this market will be resolved via a future manifold poll, titled simply "Does the Rabbit R1 Suck"?
The poll will run for 1 week, and the description of the poll will clarify that the poll is assessing suckiness at that point in time, and not speculation that it might improve in the future.
I might bet in this market.
Poll: https://manifold.markets/retr0id/does-the-rabbit-r1-suck
1,000
3.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ121 | |
| 2 | Ṁ77 | |
| 3 | Ṁ62 | |
| 4 | Ṁ58 | |
| 5 | Ṁ57 |
@retr0id oops, I didn't start the poll on time - probably fairest to let the poll run for a whole week, then resolve the market after
Videos from users have started to drop. I've found this one from a reddit thread. Compared to the Humane Pin the response is pretty fast!
Here's it struggling to accuractly identify objects: https://twitter.com/raywongy/status/1783016191692312581
@retr0id https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1JjInHnLmGI "The Humane AI Pin solves nothing and makes me feel stupid"
@retr0id MKBHD on Humane Pin: "The Worst Product I've Ever Reviewed... For Now"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TitZV6k8zfA
Rabbit seem to be posting raw (i.e. uneditied) POV videos of the Rabbit R1 in action. Seems to fit the description given in the on-stage announcement. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3T5wmZOsjdA
I'd argue this is an update downwards for this market, perhaps 20-40%.
@ElliotDavies Interesting, but the fact that this is consistent with what's been previously announced/demoed doesn't change my opinion much either way. And the concrete capability shown here isn't that fundamentally different to a "hey siri, send a text to xxx" that we've had for ages. I know there's LAM magic going on in the background (supposedly), but I'm not yet convinced it'll be the revolution some people are hoping for. (all that said, I'm still not betting in this market, I'm too uncertain about it!)
Similar question with slightly different resolution criteria https://manifold.markets/polarblau/will-the-rabbit-r1-receive-favorabl
