Will I study for 150 minutes per day* in July?
6
100Ṁ55
Jul 31
48%
chance

This market is about whether I will study for 180 minutes per day, *between 3 July and 31 July 2025 and except in special circumstances as outlined in the rules below. It's a commitment device to help me build a consistent learning habit.

Market Conditions:

  1. Timeframe

  • 3 July 2025 to 31 July 2025

  1. Baseline Rule

  • The daily minimum is 180 minutes.

  1. Excess Minutes Rule

  • Any minutes studied beyond the daily minimum will be saved and can be used in increments of 180 minutes to skip a future day.

  • Excess minutes do not expire, can be accumulated and may be carried over to follow-up markets.

  1. Special Circumstances

  • On days when physical illnesses, injuries or external circumstances hinder me in fulfilling this commitment, the minimum is 60 minutes. If I do not fulfil this minimum in such a case, the resolution is NO.

  1. Resolution Criteria

  • Resolves NO if the minimum is not met on any day without special circumstances; otherwise resolves YES after 31 July 2025.

Additional Notes:

  • The study material will consist of textbooks, video lectures and online courses on law, learning techniques, 10-finger typing practice and Anki learning cards

  • I plan to renovate my home and may count that as special circumstances

  • I will not trade on this market

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