This market is about whether or not I will study and complete defined learning outputs during 12–17 August 2025. It's a commitment device to help me build a consistent study habit and to prepare myself for my enrollment into a law degree programme in October.
Market Conditions:
Timeframe
The timeframe is 12 August 2025 to and incl. 17 August 2025.
Baseline Rule
The daily minimum is 150 minutes on Tuesday–Saturday, and 0 minutes on Sunday.
Excess/Credit Rule
Any minutes studied beyond the applicable daily minimum accrue as excess minutes.
Excess minutes may be redeemed in increments of 1 minute to skip or shorten required study time on a future day within the timeframe.
Each redemption costs an additional 10 minutes from the excess balance (redeeming X minutes deducts X + 10).
Excess minutes do not expire and may be carried over to follow-up markets.
Special Circumstances
On days when physical illness, injury, or external circumstances hinder me, I may reduce the minimum to 45 minutes. If I fail to meet this minimum and don't have enough excess minutes, the market resolves NO.
Extra Goals
Create 3 handwritten flashcards for legal concepts I’ve recently learned.
Write my very first legal opinion using the “Gutachtenstil” method. (the main form of exams in German law degree programmes)
Resolution Criteria
The market resolves YES if I meet the applicable daily minimums (accounting for valid excess-minute redemptions and any special-circumstance adjustments) on all days within the timeframe, and complete both extra goals by the end of 17 August 2025.
Otherwise the market resolves NO.
Additional Notes
I am starting with 57 excess minutes carried over from a previous market.
I will not trade on this market.
Thanks for your participation! ❤️