Will I study 150 mins Tue–Sat, complete 3 flashcards, and complete a simple legal opinion by Aug 17?
6
100Ṁ98
Aug 17
42%
chance

This market is about whether or not I will study and complete defined learning outputs during 12–17 August 2025. It's a commitment device to help me build a consistent study habit and to prepare myself for my enrollment into a law degree programme in October.

Market Conditions:

  1. Timeframe

    • The timeframe is 12 August 2025 to and incl. 17 August 2025.

  2. Baseline Rule

    • The daily minimum is 150 minutes on Tuesday–Saturday, and 0 minutes on Sunday.

  3. Excess/Credit Rule

    • Any minutes studied beyond the applicable daily minimum accrue as excess minutes.

    • Excess minutes may be redeemed in increments of 1 minute to skip or shorten required study time on a future day within the timeframe.

    • Each redemption costs an additional 10 minutes from the excess balance (redeeming X minutes deducts X + 10).

    • Excess minutes do not expire and may be carried over to follow-up markets.

  4. Special Circumstances

    • On days when physical illness, injury, or external circumstances hinder me, I may reduce the minimum to 45 minutes. If I fail to meet this minimum and don't have enough excess minutes, the market resolves NO.

  5. Extra Goals

    • Create 3 handwritten flashcards for legal concepts I’ve recently learned.

    • Write my very first legal opinion using the “Gutachtenstil” method. (the main form of exams in German law degree programmes)

  6. Resolution Criteria

    • The market resolves YES if I meet the applicable daily minimums (accounting for valid excess-minute redemptions and any special-circumstance adjustments) on all days within the timeframe, and complete both extra goals by the end of 17 August 2025.

    • Otherwise the market resolves NO.

Additional Notes

  • I am starting with 57 excess minutes carried over from a previous market.

  • I will not trade on this market.

Thanks for your participation! ❤️

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