Will I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day in April?

Question

This market is about whether I will leave the house before 11 a.m. and stay outside for at least 15 minutes every day 30 March, 31 March and all of April. It serves as a commitment device to help me maintain a consistent morning routine.

Market Conditions

Timeframe

30 March up to and including 30 April 2026.

Resolution Criteria

Will resolve YES, if I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day and stay outside for at least 15 minutes.

Will resolve NO, if I don't, for any reason whatsoever.

Additional notes:

I will not trade on this market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 18% chance (5 traders, as of Mar 29, 2026).

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