Will I exercise every single day next week? (Ṁ10 Bonus)

Question

This is a commitment device market about maintaining a baseline of physical activity from September 14 through September 20.

YES if I complete all daily targets within the timeframe. Daily target: EITHER 25+ minutes of jogging, cycling, swimming or stationary bike OR 50+ minutes of taking a walk outside.

NO i f I miss a single day for any reason whatsoever.

Ṁ10 Bonus: Every unique human trader gets a one-time Ṁ10 bonus at market close.

Notes: Thanks for participating. ❤

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (0 traders, as of Sep 13, 2026).

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