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MANIFOLD
If Elon goes to space within his lifetime, will he go past Low Earth Orbit?
13
Ṁ100Ṁ241
2076
40%
chance

AI slop:

This market resolves Yes if Elon Musk personally flies aboard a spacecraft that reaches an altitude exceeding 2,000 km above Earth's surface (or achieves a trajectory that escapes Low Earth Orbit) at any point before his death. It resolves No only if he does fly to space (crossing the Kármán line at 100 km) during his lifetime but all of his spaceflights remain in Low Earth Orbit (maximum altitude below 2,000 km). The market will be voided (N/A) if Elon Musk never flies to space at all before his death.

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