Does Manifold think Clavicular was mogged by the chad judge?

Question

https://manifold.markets/realTomBayes/was-clavicular-logged-by-the-chad-j?r=cmVhbFRvbUJheWVz

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 98% chance (8 traders, as of May 19, 2026).

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