Will any Forbes 30 under 30 be arrested in December of 2023?
98
1.4kṀ140kresolved Jan 25
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any credible proof that someone from any year of the US Forbes 30 under 30 is arrested (conviction not required) in December of 2023 will resolve this to YES.
Note that there are about > 7800 30 under 30. The probability of one of them being arrested is 1 - ((1 - P)^7800), where P is the probability of one of them being arrested in December. Even with P being 5000 to 1 odds, that is near certainty.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ3,611 | |
| 2 | Ṁ454 | |
| 3 | Ṁ417 | |
| 4 | Ṁ324 | |
| 5 | Ṁ258 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Which former Forbes 30 Under 30 winners be convicted of a crime by January 1, 2027?
Who in the Forbes 30 Under 30 2025 list will be charged, indicted, or SEC-sued before 2040?
Will Marc Atiyeh (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
15% chance
Will Anurag Kamal (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
8% chance
Will Amin Aalipour (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
20% chance
Will Alex Atallah (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
18% chance
Will Nicholas Bagamian (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
15% chance
Will Peter Twomey (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
16% chance
Will Akil Alvin (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
17% chance
Will Jordan Anderson (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
19% chance