Resolves YES if South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff or Japan's government reports that North Korea launched at least one ballistic missile after this market was created and before 12:00 AM KST on September 1, 2026. Otherwise resolves NO.

Cruise missiles, artillery rockets not officially identified as ballistic missiles, failed launches not acknowledged by either listed authority, and the August 20 launches before market creation do not count.

Primary sources: South Korea's JCS and Japan's Ministry of Defense. The market closes 12 hours before the deadline.