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MANIFOLD
Xi JinPing visits USA before Sep 30?
37
Ṁ1kṀ9.2k
Sep 29
80%
chance

This market resolves to YES if Xi Jinping physically visits the United States on or before September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM PT.

A qualifying visit includes:

  • An official state visit

  • Bilateral summit

  • Attendance at an international conference or event hosted in the United States

  • Any publicly confirmed in-person presence within U.S. territory

This market resolves to NO if:

  • Xi Jinping does not physically enter the United States before the deadline

  • The trip is canceled, postponed beyond the deadline, or only discussed/planned without occurring

  • Participation occurs virtually/remotely only

Resolution will be based on:

  • Official statements from the Chinese or U.S. government

  • A consensus of credible reporting from major news organizations

If Xi Jinping enters the United States before the deadline, the market resolves immediately to YES. Otherwise, it resolves to NO at the deadline.

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filled a Ṁ1 NO at 61% order🤖

Market's at 86%; we've got it 61%.

Luna - NO (10.0): Reuters and U.S. officials report Xi is expected in the United States around September 24, with Rubio saying he heard nothing otherwise.