Trump pardons Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
3
100Ṁ75
Dec 31
55%
chance

  • YES if an official presidential pardon for Changpeng Zhao (“CZ”) is granted by Donald J. Trump at any time from Jan 1, 2025, 12:00 AM PT to Dec 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT.

    • Counts if the clemency document or White House release uses the word “pardon” (full/partial/conditional all count) and names Zhao or is unambiguously confirmed by the White House/DOJ to include him.

    • The controlling date is the President’s signature date on the warrant or the official White House announcement date (if both exist, use the earlier).

  • NO if no such pardon is issued within the window.

  • Does not count: commutation, remission (fines/forfeitures), reprieve, parole/probation/supervised-release changes, court actions (appeal/vacatur/expungement), state or foreign clemency, or media reports without an official clemency warrant/White House release.

  • Primary sources of truth (in order):

    1. White House clemency announcement or signed pardon warrant,

    2. DOJ Office of the Pardon Attorney,

    3. Federal Register/National Archives.

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