S&P 500 above $6050 on June 13?
S&P 500 above $6050 on June 13?
19
200Ṁ3218resolved Jun 13
Resolved
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This market will resolve to:
• ✅ YES if the official closing value of the S&P 500 index (ticker: ^GSPC) published by Yahoo Finance or MarketWatch on June 13, 2025 is strictly greater than 6050.00.
• ❌ NO if the closing value is less than or equal to 6050.
Primary Source:
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC
Alternate Source:
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/spx
If markets are closed on June 13, 2025 (e.g., due to a holiday), the result will be based on the most recent prior trading day’s official close.
If there is any discrepancy between sources, Yahoo Finance will take precedence.
Resolution Date: June 13, 2025, at 4:00 PM ET (market close)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.