Resolution Criteria: New Pope in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new Pope is officially elected and confirmed by the College of Cardinals at any point between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM PT. The new Pope must be publicly announced and assume the role of the Bishop of Rome and leader of the Catholic Church.

If no new Pope is elected and confirmed within the specified timeframe, the market will resolve to “No.”

Resolution Sources:

The primary resolution source for this market will be official Vatican announcements. Reputable media sources such as Vatican News, BBC, Reuters, Associated Press, or other widely recognized news outlets may also be used for confirmation.

Resolution Date & Time: December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM PT.