Question: “Will the United States Department of Defense be renamed to the Department of War in 2025?”

What counts (YES): A U.S. federal law (public law enacted by Congress and signed, or passed over veto) that expressly renames the “Department of Defense” to “Department of War” (or “United States Department of War”), with the effective date of the name change occurring between January 1, 2025, 12:00 AM PT and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT.

What does not count (NO):

• Proposed or passed-but-not-enacted bills, committee drafts, or press releases.

• Executive orders, memos, branding/website changes, or agency style updates without an enacted statute that effects the legal name change.

• Any name other than exactly “Department of War” (e.g., “War Department,” “Department of War and Defense,” etc.).

• Abolishing DoD and creating a new department unless the enacted law explicitly states it is a renaming of the Department of Defense to “Department of War.”

Primary sources of truth (in order):

1. The text of the enacted public law (e.g., Congress.gov / govinfo.gov) establishing the rename and its effective date;

2. The U.S. Code reflecting the change;

3. The Federal Register or official agency notices implementing the statutory rename.

   Credible reporting may be used only to point to the controlling legal text above.

Timing rule: The market resolves YES if the effective date of the legal rename occurs within the 2025 PT window above. If a law is enacted in 2025 but specifies an effective date outside 2025, the market resolves NO.

Precision: Spelling and capitalization of “Department of War” must match in substance; “United States Department of War” is acceptable.

Ambiguities: If sources conflict, the text of the enacted public law controls.

Closure: Resolve at or after the earlier of (a) the effective-date confirmation, or (b) December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT.