Will I be able to bench bodyweight by July 2023?
Will I be able to bench bodyweight by July 2023?
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750Ṁ3452resolved Aug 1
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I'll check my bodyweight before benching, and if my bench (1 rep) exceeds my bodyweight as measured that day (before July 1st, 2023), this market will resolve YES.
Some info:
6'2, weigh ~150lbs right now
Have been going to the gym 6 days/week for the past month, started benching 2 weeks ago (bench twice a week)
Can currently bench 95lbs (1 rep)
I'm eating significantly more protein than before, though I'm not trying to gain weight
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I didn't go to the gym often from mid March to mid April, but I've started regularly going again (benching 3x/week) and just hit 115 1 rep max
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.