Subject: Two Feature Suggestions to Improve Manifold

Hi Manifold team,

I'm a frequent user and a big fan of the platform — thanks for building such a unique and engaging experience.

I wanted to offer two feature suggestions that I think would make Manifold even more useful for strategic and active traders:

1. Conditional Buy Orders ("Buy when it hits X%")
Right now, limit orders don’t allow users to express conditional intent cleanly — if I try to “buy at 95%,” but the market is currently at 70%, the system sees that as above market price and fills the order immediately, which defeats the point. What’s really needed is a new kind of order that only triggers when the market reaches or exceeds a certain probability — effectively a “stop” or “conditional” order.

This would let users automate reactions to late-breaking information (e.g. betting once a candidate wins a primary or once a sports team is clearly winning), without having to camp on the page.

2. Options for Highly Liquid Markets
For markets with high liquidity (e.g., over 100,000 M), I’d love to see even basic options added — for example, “YES if the market is above 60% on July 1.” These kinds of instruments would allow for more nuanced bets, hedging, and leverage strategies — and they’d be especially fun in politics, crypto, or major sports events where the market dynamics are rich and evolving.

Thanks again for all the work you're doing — the platform has grown into something amazing, and I’m excited to see where you take it next.

Best,
Ryan (NG on Manifold)