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MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open (Indian Wells WTA 1000)?
24
αΉ€1kαΉ€33k
resolved Mar 15
100%99.4%
πŸ‡§πŸ‡Ύ Aryna Sabalenka (1)
0.1%
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Victoria Mboko (10)
0.1%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Amanda Anisimova (6)
0.1%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Coco Gauff (4)
0.1%
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Jessica Pegula (5)
0.3%
πŸ‡°πŸ‡Ώ Elena Rybakina (3)
0.1%
πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± Iga Swiatek (2)
0.1%Other

Resolution criteria

The women's singles final will take place on Sunday, March 15, 2026. The winner will be determined by the official WTA records at https://www.wtatennis.com/tournaments/indian-wells/draws. The market resolves to whichever player wins the WTA singles championship at the 2026 BNP Paribas Open.

Background

The BNP Paribas Open is an outdoor WTA 1000 event played on hard courts at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden in California. The entire Top 10 in the PIF WTA Rankings will be in the mix at Indian Wells, including reigning champion Mirra Andreeva. Mirra Andreeva will start as the defending champion after winning her second WTA 1000 title 12 months ago. The 2026 BNP Paribas Open will feature five previous winners of the event, including Mirra Andreeva, Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina.

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Yes, a big fan who thought she has been playing really well lately, but things happen.

i'd love to know the strategy here, @ArthurZhu. big rybakina fan?