Which women's tennis players will reach the 2025 US Open Semifinals?
11
1.4kแน€2151
Sep 7
71%
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Aryna Sabalenka (1)
62%
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Iga Swiatek (2)
46%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Coco Gauff (3)
21%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Jessica Pegula (4)
40%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Mirra Andreeva (5)
12%
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Jasmine Paolini (7)
14%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Amanda Anisimova (8)
15%
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Elena Rybakina (9)
5%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Emma Navarro (10)
13%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Karolina Muchova (11)
12%
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Belinda Bencic (16)
14%
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Naomi Osaka (23)
14%
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Marta Kostyuk (27)
64%
Other (Any Player Not Listed Above)

Resolution criteria

  • Each of the listed players resolves YES if that player appears as one of the four semifinalists in the 2025 US Open Womenโ€™s Singles main draw; players resolve NO otherwise. Verification: the official US Open womenโ€™s singles draw/results page or PDF and/or the WTA tournament page. Links: https://www.usopen.org/en_US/scores/draws/2025_WS_draw.pdf, https://www.usopen.org/en_US/scores/index.html, https://www.wtatennis.com/tournament/905/us-open/2025/overview. (en.wikipedia.org, wtatennis.com)

  • โ€œOther (Any Player Not Listed Above)โ€ resolves YES if at least one of the four semifinalists is not among the named answers; resolves NO if all four semifinalists are from the listed options. For clarity's sake, those listed players are:

    • ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Aryna Sabalenka (1)

    • ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Iga Swiatek (2)

    • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Coco Gauff (3)

    • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Jessica Pegula (4)

    • ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Mirra Andreeva (5)

    • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Jasmine Paolini (7)

    • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Amanda Anisimova (8)

    • ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Elena Rybakina (9)

    • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Emma Navarro (10)

    • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Karolina Muchova (11)

    • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ Belinda Bencic (16)

    • ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Naomi Osaka (23)

    • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Marta Kostyuk (27)

  • Edge cases: being that the tournament has already begun, it is unlikely there will be any players that resolve N/A. If a player has to retire due to injury before the semifinals, so be it, that player will resolve NO. If a player retires during the semifinal matches, that makes no difference to this market. As market creator, I reserve the right to N/A if there is some sort of unforeseen extraordinary circumstance.

Background

  • Event dates/venue: Aug 24โ€“Sep 7, 2025, USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center (NYC). The 2025 edition uses a 15-day format starting on a Sunday. Womenโ€™s semifinals are scheduled for Thu, Sept 4 (evening). (usopen.org, espn.com, wtatennis.com)

Considerations

  • Only the Womenโ€™s Singles main draw counts (not doubles, mixed, or juniors).

  • Inspired by @105du's excellent men's semis market.

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