Who will reach 60% first? (Kamala/Trump/Neither)
470
4.4kṀ360k
resolved Oct 22
WALZ v. VANCE
100%99.0%
Trump
0.4%
Kamala
0.6%
Neither

NOTE:

in order to prevent a confusing “reaching of 60% first,” resolution of this market will be determined by analyzing the electionbettingodds “last day” chart for the 2024 US Presidency (data plotted every 30ish-minutes).

Through analyzing the graph between market creation and Election Day (11/5 at 11:59:59 pm EST), if at any static point, I determine a candidates odds has reached at least 60.0% the market will resolve YES for the respective candidate and NO for “neither” and the other candidate.

To further ensure to you bias has no roll in determining the “official 60% being reached” I will not trade in this market.

If the Kamala and Trump odds each never reach 60% before the eod November 5th 2024 (11:59:59 pm EST), “Neither” will resolve YES and others will resolve NO.

Any glitches on their website will not resolve this. I will wait until the point in question is static and the following point is plotted to determine if it was a 60% being reached at that moment.

Comment any questions or news you have! 💙

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ17,585
2Ṁ15,464
3Ṁ7,383
4Ṁ2,151
5Ṁ2,018
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy