What will be 10 times the popular vote percentage of all third parties combined in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
7
42
Ṁ181Ṁ220
Nov 6
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market will resolve to the best known counts 1 week after the election, and will resolve to the nearest whole percentage point.
If third parties get >10% of the PV, resolves to 100% (YES).
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
How much of the popular vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
80% chance
Will the Democratic candidate's popular vote exceed Republican candidate's popular vote in 2024 Presidential election?
78% chance
How much of the popular vote will Joe Biden win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
2024 US Election: Will a third-party candidate get 2%?
59% chance
What will voter turnout be in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
2024 US Election: Will a third-party candidate get 3%?
47% chance
What percentage of the vote will the third most popular candidate get in the 2024 Presidential Election?
If the 2024 Presidential Election is Biden/Trump what percentage of the vote will the most popular other candidate get?