What will be 10 times the popular vote percentage of all third parties combined in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
Basic
13
Ṁ706resolved Nov 12
Resolved as
18%1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market will resolve to the best known counts 1 week after the election, and will resolve to the nearest whole percentage point.
If third parties get >10% of the PV, resolves to 100% (YES).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
How much of the popular vote will the Green Party's candidate win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
How large will the popular vote margin be in the 2024 presidential election?
Will a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?
35% chance
Will third-party candidates receive 5% or more of the presidential vote in 2024?
1% chance
How much of the popular vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Will any candidate win a majority of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
1% chance
Would the independent party US president nominees (combine if there is more than 1) gets more than 20% of popular vote?
11% chance
Will a single independent candidate get more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election?
1% chance
What percentage of the popular vote will each 2024 Presidential candidate receive?
[Metaculus] Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote...US presidential election?
1% chance