:

Resolution criteria

• YES if, by 11:59:59 pm ET on September 30, 2025, the federal government formally returns operational control of the Metropolitan Police Department (MPD) to D.C. local authorities (the Mayor and MPD Chief) by either:

  • An official written action rescinding or superseding President Trump’s August 11, 2025 directive asserting federal control over D.C. policing (e.g., White House/DoD/DOJ order or memorandum posted on their official sites), or

  • A federal court order (not stayed) that terminates the federal assertion of control and restores the Mayor/Chief’s sole command of MPD. Relevant public dockets/press releases or coverage by major wire services suffice to verify. (whitehouse.gov, upi.com)

• NO if no such effective rescission/superseding action or court order is in effect by the deadline.

• Clarifications:

  • Demobilizing the National Guard or reducing federal presence alone does not count unless the chain of command over MPD is returned to the Mayor/Chief. (reuters.com)

  • If competing claims exist, the market resolves based on the presence (or absence) of an official rescission/superseding document or an effective, not-stayed court order meeting the above.

Background

• On August 11, 2025, the White House announced a directive to “restore law and order” in D.C., mobilizing the D.C. National Guard and asserting federal control over policing. (whitehouse.gov)

• Following this, the administration installed a federal “emergency police commissioner,” prompting D.C.’s Attorney General to sue, arguing Section 740 of the Home Rule Act does not permit replacing MPD leadership or taking operational command. (washingtonexaminer.com, democracydocket.com)

• Section 740 allows the President to request MPD services for federal purposes during an emergency, with time limits; its use here is unprecedented and contested. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

• A restoration could occur via executive rescission, a court injunction/decision, or congressional developments; partial measures that leave a federal appointee in the MPD chain-of-command would not qualify. (axios.com)