The platform uses text to vector embeddings (semantic similarity) to retrieve markets. Explains why probability shifts occurred (daily, weekly, monthly and yearly) by showing in the feed small summaries of all recent comments for individual markets. You can also create your own areas you'd like to track and explore public ones created by other users.
I use it every day to get an accurate idea of where the world is heading or find markets to trade in areas I care about.
The number of daily active users will be measured by the average of the last 3 days of June.
You can check out the app here: newstag.app
Or download it on android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=app.newstag.twa
I will not bet.
Screenshots:
Update 2025-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Bots will not count towards the daily active users.
Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they do not currently have a reliable way to count daily active users. Current active user figures shared are based on sign-ups, which the creator indicates is distinct from how daily active users will be determined for resolution.
1,000@jessald Bots won't count. Now that there are anonymous accounts it's slightly harder, but I'll think of something.
This looks very cool and I might actually use it regularly. One improvement I would suggest would be to ignore initial market changes right after creation; e.g. "will an AI run a factory by the end of 2028" displays as having dropped by 36%, but this is just the market settling that happened within the first few hours and it has been stable since.
@kongus_bongus I would also like to see something like an option to weight the sorting by number of recent trades. The Manifold app's "hot" tab seems at a glance to be a better representation of what market movements are actually tied to the biggest current events.
@jessald I don't think it will be very telling... The app got around 25 sign ups but I don't think all of that will translate to daily activity.
@jessald In the past 24 hours there were around 20 active users. I don't have a reliable way to count it yet. This is just based of sign ups.
@ian Thanks. There is actually a filter made for that so that you can see only markets with the cause summaries.
@patrik ah no, i mean my experience was that they were invisible, they were actually rendered on my screen
@patrik also, i'm betting no just bc it's v hard for websites to get active users! Are you planning on adding any features that encourage sharing? i also agree with other commenters that the blank home screen was v confusing/not a great experience. Something other than a sign in icon button without text would be a great improvement. At least add a button that says sign in to enter
@patrik maybe some example trending movements w/ summaries would be a good teaser, then a button that says 'sign in to see more'
@patrik now i'm stuck, (i am signed in, hit back from discover, and now i'm on home with nowhere to go)
@ian Yeah makes sense. You have to press the home icon in the bottom left in the navigation bar. That puts you into a page navigation view.
@ian I'm always struggling with making it elegant but also understandable. Will probably add something more to the home page for sure tho. Appreciate the feedback
@patrik This seems opposite of what i'd expect. if the users are discussing a potential new theory, the change should be upwards?
@ian Yep I know about this. Sometimes the LLM doesn't understand that the shift happened downwards. Will need to refine the prompt.
@patrik is it showing me changes over 1d or 1w or 1m? that is v confusing. it should be explicit over what timeframe the change is
@ian If you go into the filter view you can specify the timeframe. Also there is a tooltip on mouse hover. I'll probablity make some UI change to communicate it better.