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MANIFOLD
When will Tropical Storm Amanda form? (EP)
1
Ṁ1kṀ25
Dec 1
12%
June 2
12%
June 3
12%
June 4
12%
June 5
12%
June 6
12%
June 7
12%
June 8
19%
Other

Resolution source: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/

Subtropical storm also counts.

Resolves to the UTC time written in the advisory text.

N/A if does not form in 2026.

Will add days to the answers as needed.

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The red one is an open invest (90E), which NHC gives 80/90% of a TD developing (although Google has been fairly bearish on it (~30%).

The future, more eastern system Google/00Z gave much higher chances of a TS in 7 days (>90%).

90E imagery from cyclonicwx.com: