I want to do an outdoors barbecue for my birthday, but as we all know the weather in London is finicky. There's no indoors place for me to host all the guests, so I need a way to figure out beforehand if the party is happening.

This market will be resolving as true if I will be hosting the barbecue in Canary Wharf. This market will resolve as false if the forecast is "too rainy", if it rains in the morning of the barbecue or if it rains so hard during the barbecue that we have to disband the party. We can survive some drizzle because most of us are British, but not a thunderstorm.

This market is a bit different than my other ones because I will be trading on it, since I've shared it with the guests as a probability of the event happening. If you have any other inside information about the weather, please trade as well so the percentage.