Will o3 (OpenAI model) be released before March 2025?
57
1kṀ23k
resolved Mar 3
Resolved
NO

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bought Ṁ100 YES

@DavidHiggs Less than 1/50 for Deep Research being sufficiently demonstrated as using o3 + this market resolving yes on that basis seemed too low

@pa Would you count Deep Research as an o3 release?

https://manifold.markets/Manifold/which-new-ai-models-will-be-release-tgtlZcCOEh

Deep Research uses o3

filled a Ṁ30 YES at 40% order

Does that qualify as a release?

filled a Ṁ30 YES at 56% order

should be, think it's pretty much a drop-in replacement for o1. They just need to pass the safety testing

I do wonder about o3-pro though

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