What will I put in first place for Best Dramatic Presentation Short Form for the Hugos this year?
What will I put in first place for Best Dramatic Presentation Short Form for the Hugos this year?
3
360Ṁ130resolved Jan 13
ResolvedN/A
59%Other
5%
The Wheel of Time: The Flame of Tar Valon
5%
For All Mankind: The Grey
19%
Arcane: The Monster You Created
4%
Loki: The Nexus Event
4%
Star Trek: Lower Decks: wej Duj
4%
The Expanse: Nemesis Games
Nominees are:
The Wheel of Time: The Flame of Tar Valon
For All Mankind: The Grey
Arcane: The Monster You Created
Loki: The Nexus Event
Star Trek: Lower Decks: wej Duj
The Expanse: Nemesis Games
I have not watched any of these TV shows and will be ranking the episodes as standalone artistic endeavors Because the Expanse is difficult to assess the quality of off a random episode, I will ask a friend who watches the Expanse to rate how good Nemesis Games was
Apr 25, 4:50pm: I'm really enjoying Arcane!
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.