
To which is the last round that Rafael Nadal will advance in the 2024 US Open tournament? 🎾
To which is the last round that Rafael Nadal will advance in the 2024 US Open tournament? 🎾
11
1kṀ9594resolved Aug 24
100%99.0%
R128 Or No Entry
0.1%
F
0.2%
SF
0.2%
QF
0.2%
R16
0.2%
R32
0.2%
R64
The question will close at 1:00 AM CT on the morning of the scheduled semifinal match and will be resolved with results published at https://www.atptour.com/
The anticipated question resolution time is no later than 10:00 PM CT on the day of the final if not earlier.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.