MANIFOLD
Will Brent crude exceed $100/barrel due to Iran-Gulf conflict by July 31, 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ40
Jul 31
66%
chance

Resolves YES if front-month Brent crude oil trades above $100/barrel at any time before August 1, 2026 UTC and the move is broadly attributed in credible reporting to Iran-Gulf conflict escalation. Resolves NO otherwise. If Brent exceeds $100 for unrelated reasons, use best public evidence to judge primary cause.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $95 on March 20, 2026?
-5% 1d77% chance
Will Brent crude close above 100/barrel at the end of the following months?
Will WTI crude oil cost more than $150/barrel before June? (According to investing.com)
33% chance
Will the WTI Crude Oil Spot Price be above $95 on March 31, 2026?
+21% 1d71% chance
Will Brent Oil Price go below $50 before March 31, 2026?
2% chance
Will WTI crude oil hit $___ before April?
Will the price of oil reach $150 before the end of 2026?
+4% 1d38% chance
Will Crude oil supply impact due to Persian Gulf military conflict exceed 20 million barrels/day on May 31, 2026?
48% chance
Will Crude oil supply impact due to Persian Gulf military conflict exceed 10 million barrels/day on May 31, 2026?
58% chance
Will Crude oil supply impact due to Persian Gulf military conflict exceed 15 million barrels/day on May 31, 2026?
31% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy